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ANALISI BITCOIN | Il punto della situazione | #8

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You are in the read-only mode. Close
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00:08.0
Opening
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00:12.5
Good morning everyone! Here is Mr. Dome
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00:20.3
And today, as usually, we'll going through an update about Bitcoin's moves
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00:25.2
As you can see the price has followed what we said in the previous analysis
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00:30.1
The price went to eliminate the latent liquidity below this minimum
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00:39.4
If we take a look at our buy/sell segments zone in this week
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00:45.5
There is no need to change the width of these segments
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00:51.6
This because compared to the opening of the previous week
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00:56.5
The price moved $350 more or less
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01:07.1
In my analysis I don't change the segments width unless we see an higher movement of the price inside the week
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01:12.0
You should keep in mind that everything in the spikes
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01:16.9
Is what I called the retails move
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01:21.8
On the contrary what is inside the body of the candle is the istitutionals move
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01:26.7
So, what could happen in the next weeks?
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01:35.6
Well, our first attention zone is in the segment that starts at 18000$ and goes to 15000$
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01:41.6
What is in your opinion the nearest liquidity zone? I'll give some seconds to think about
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The answer is that the nearest liquidity zone is the one highlighted by the relative minimum of June
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02:01.8
This because the price needs liquidity to makes its moves
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02:06.7
As you can see with the liquidity taken from these minimums
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02:12.6
There were latent orders as this candle testifies
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02:17.5
So the question is, when will we have the next big reaction?
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02:22.4
In this case we will have an uptrend reaction only when
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02:32.2
There will be a closing over the close of the last resistence candle
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02:37.1
Or in other terms a closing over a supply zone
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02:44.2
At the moment the downtrend strenght is keeped by the closing of this move
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02:47.5
That has led to take the liquidity here
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02:52.4
So until we will have a closing daily above this zone
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02:58.5
Over this relative closing to be precise, we'll not have a bullish reaction
02:58.6
03:08.6
In my plan regarding my long term positions in the crypto market I'm not referring to the daily dynamics of the market
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03:12.0
But I consider only the weekly dinamics
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03:16.9
So, why we still not see an important reaction of the price?
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03:21.8
Because we're still having a strong bearish pressure
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03:27.6
Of course, someone could say that the bearish pressure is crystal clear on the chart
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03:32.5
But the istitutionals in order to take position in the market,
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03:39.4
Beyond the report I won't show you because there are no difference compared to the last week,
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03:47.4
As long as the weekly close will be under this zone
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03:52.3
So until it's under 21800$
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04:00.2
We'll not have any bearish reaction and the bearish pressure will keep going
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04:05.9
So in order to see a change in the dominance between sellers and buyers
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04:13.4
We need a great amount of liquidity, and my attention zone where to sell my Bitcoins
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04:16.7
It's always the same and doesn't change
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04:21.6
And also this level that we're using in our videos
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04:28.3
It's in a momentary drawdown but it's also near to our attention's levels
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04:37.0
So until there is a great movement I will not buy or sell until we reach these zones
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04:41.9
This month of September (until now) is considered as a laterality month
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04:48.5
Of course, there have been some moves, but they have only served to collecting liquidity
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04:54.1
This move for example has collect liquidity in this gap of liquidity spot
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05:02.5
And also has been collected liquidity here and here because the retail traders keep using this levels as support
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05:09.9
From the chat of Crypto Dome I was asked what an important liquidity level could be?
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05:17.3
Let's take a look for a moment at the yearly chart, we might notice an important thing
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05:23.7
As you can see there is a liquidity gap followed this change of dominance
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05:27.5
This liquidity gap ends near to 14000$
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05:35.6
Could his means that at 14000$ we will have a strong reaction? Not necessarily, however we have to fill the liquidity gap
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05:41.9
How long will it take? Days, weeks, months? No one can nows and we should not be worried
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05:46.8
We have only to keep in mind that to go into that zone the price has to collect more liquidity
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05:54.7
Because to complete a downtrend we need more bearish pressur that need pending orders
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05:59.6
So it's right that the price will build this pattern over times
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06:08.2
Indeed I only care about my monthly purchase zone that is between 15000$ and 10750$
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06:12.1
Which is the zone where I have set my alerts
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06:18.3
So until this will not happen it's worthless to trying foresee where the price will go
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06:27.4
You'll only consider that a potential point of reaction is near to 14000$ more or less
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06:31.4
Because there are also more intermediate levels
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06:36.3
So what could take the price to lose other 5000$?
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06:42.4
For example could be an important economic news like the CPI we had last week
06:42.5
06:49.1
That has strengthened the dollar due to the inflation
06:49.2
06:55.1
Indeed after the dollar gained strength Bitcoin has weakened
06:55.2
07:02.4
So, in it will probably be another important news that will move the price down
07:02.5
07:12.1
Like a Russian-Ukraine update or another news related to the dollar in the next weeks
07:12.2
07:20.4
But as you can see until now there weren't any relevant moves considering the Bitcoin's standard
07:20.5
07:25.3
As I said September would be a month with volatility
07:25.4
07:30.2
Indeed the price has gone up and now collecting liquidity
07:30.3
07:38.3
And the range of movement of the price is close to 5000$, that is the average move that I am going to estimate
07:38.4
07:44.6
As you can see also in these past months the range of the price move was near to 6000$
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07:49.5
Indeed my segmented zones consider this average movement of 6000$
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07:53.2
The price has been making these movements of max $6000 for 3 months now
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08:00.4
But there are less less move as this one of 15000$
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08:05.3
I hope that we'll get this situation in order to buy and sell at its best
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08:11.5
Even if this moves don't always happen consider that this is a long term strategy
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08:17.6
So if you buy or sell following this logic, you'll can look at the chart the less possible
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08:25.4
For example all the traders that create analysis based on every little moves of the price
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08:33.1
They understood nothing because all the liquidity peaks are a consequence of pending orders only
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08:38.0
In conclusion, for this week my attentions goes to
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08:46.4
The elimination of these minimums that are near liquidity orders
08:46.5
08:51.3
At the moment we don't have the strenght for a strong reaction
08:51.4
08:55.0
Even if there is a little hint in these zones
08:55.1
09:01.2
However when will we have a week or a close beyond the reaction point
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09:06.1
That in this case is the opening of this reaction point
09:06.2
09:09.7
If we'll have more days that close below this will be invalidated
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09:16.0
So, in regards of Bicoin beyond traditional markets
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09:21.4
It's not a good idea to have an intraday operativity because it has no interest on the part of the institutions
09:21.5
09:29.5
In this moment the attentions goes to the stock markets and also to the currency market
09:29.6
09:34.4
In particular the EUR/USD pair that has reach the 1:1 ratio some weeks ago
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09:39.3
So the attentions of institutionals is here because there are greater economic interests
09:39.4
09:46.0
As you can see due to the holiday period and macroeconomic issues
09:46.1
09:49.8
Bitcoin has been partially poorly considered
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09:53.8
So even if there were some movement about 6000/7000$
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10:02.3
Maybe for someone a move from 18000$ to 25000$ can seem a huge move
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10:07.2
But is only the average movement of Bitcoin actually
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10:12.1
Indeed our squares of attention are set to the edges
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10:20.0
In order to take advantage of the volatility in case of a buy or in case of a sell
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10:28.4
I know I may be repetitive in these last weeks but I don't move the markets
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10:33.3
I only show you what are the next liquidity levels and also the economic events
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Like the SEC or the FED events
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10:41.3
It cannot be done otherwise, we're waiting better times
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So in this upcoming week just keep an eye to these liquidity levels
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10:51.1
And due to the unchanges of our attention's segments
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11:01.5
Let's hope a buy in this zone following this logic in order to see how profitable is this method
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Have a nice day you all!